The decade-long growth of government-authored news media in China under Xi Jinping
Publication Year
2025
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
State propaganda campaigns are influential but difficult to detect by design. We develop a method for identifying government-authored propaganda by linking leaked propaganda directives to the behavior of millions of newspaper articles published over the last decade in China. We find that propaganda is quite common—even in commercial newspapers—and has become even more prevalent and homogeneous under Xi Jinping. Using the case study of domestic coverage of COVID-19, we show how the government used propaganda to constrain reporting on the outbreak before the Wuhan lockdown. Autocratic governments around the world use clandestine propaganda campaigns to influence the media. We document a decade-long trend in China toward the planting of government-authored articles in party and commercial newspapers. To examine this phenomenon, we develop an approach to identifying scripted propaganda—the coerced reprinting of lightly adapted government-authored articles in newspapers—that leverages the footprints left by the government when making media interventions. We show that in China, scripted propaganda is a daily phenomenon—on 90% of days from 2012 to 2022, the vast majority of party newspapers include at least some scripted propaganda at the direction of a central directive. On particular sensitive days, the amount of scripted propaganda can spike to 30% of the articles appearing in major newspapers. We show that scripted propaganda has strengthened under President Xi Jinping. In the last decade, the front page of party newspapers has evolved from 5% scripted articles to approximately 20% scripted. This government-authored content throughout the paper is increasingly homogeneous—fewer and fewer adaptations are done by individual newspapers. In contrast to popular speculation, we show that scripted content is not only on ideological topics (although it is increasingly ideological) and is also very prevalent in commercial papers. Using a case study of domestic coverage of COVID-19, we demonstrate how the regime uses scripting to shape, constrain, and delay information during crises. Our findings reveal the wide-ranging influence of government-authored propaganda in China’s media ecosystem.
Journal
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Volume
122
Pages
e2408260122